Search-And-Tracking (SaT) is the problem of searching for a mobile target and tracking it once it is found. Since SaT platforms face many sources of uncertainty and operational constraints, progress in the field has been restricted to simple and unrealistic scenarios. In this paper, we propose a new hybrid approach to SaT that allows us to successfully address large-scale and complex SaT missions. The probabilistic structure of SaT is compiled into a deterministic planning model and Bayesian inference is directly incorporated in the planning mechanism. Thanks to this tight integration between automated planning and probabilistic reasoning, we are able to exploit the power of both approaches. Planning provides the tools to efficiently explore big search spaces, while Bayesian inference, by readily combining prior knowledge with observable data, allows the planner to make more informed and effective decisions. We offer experimental evidence of the potential of our approach.

Much recent work in satisficing planning has aimed at striking a balance between coverage - solving as many problems as possible - and plan quality. Current planners achieve near perfect coverage on the latest IPC benchmarks. It is therefore natural to investigate their scaling behavior on more difficult instances. Among state of the art planners, LAMA (Richter, Helmert, and Westphal 2008) is able to generate high quality plans, but its coverage drops off rapidly with increasing prob- lem complexity. The Arvand planner (Nakhost and Müller 2009) scales to much harder instances but generates lower quality plans. This paper introduces a new algorithm, Monte Carlo Random Walk-based Local Tree Search (MRW-LTS), which uses random walks to selectively build local search trees. Experiments demonstrate that MRW-LTS combines a scaling behavior that is better than LAMA’s with a plan quality that is better than Arvand’s.